Lehigh Acres, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

313
FXUS62 KTBW 090432
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1232 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1154 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
An U/L ridge will hold over the Florida peninsula through the
weekend. An inverted trough/U/L low will track across the
peninsula early/middle of next week likely enhancing convection
across the region.

At the surface, weak high pressure will hold over the forecast
area through Saturday with the ridge axis generally across the
central Florida peninsula. This flow promotes highest pops over
the interior and southwest Florida each day. The west/east coast
sea breeze boundaries will push slowly inland during the day with
the boundaries colliding over the interior during the late
afternoon/early evening hours increasing shower/thunderstorm
activity. Southwest Florida will be on the south side of the ridge
axis with light east/northeast flow. This will hold the west
coast sea breeze boundary closer to the coast with increasing
shower/thunderstorm activity during the late afternoon.

Only exception is this morning where an outflow boundary across
north Florida will create higher pops across the extreme northern
forecast area as it sags south close to Levy county with a chance
of showers and storms. Otherwise, a wedge of drier air aloft
combined with onshore flow on the north side of the ridge axis
will likely keep pops on the low side across the nature coast
through Saturday.

On Sunday, increasing deep layer moisture along with the approach
of the U/L inverted trough from the east will increase pops
across west central and southwest Florida. Highest pops should
remain over the interior and southwest Florida.

Early next week, increasing south to southwest boundary layer flow
combined with the U/L low aloft and deep tropical moisture
advecting over the forecast area will bring a significantly
greater chance of showers/storms Monday and Tuesday to the entire
region. This could potentially carry over into
Wednesday...however the U/L low may push far enough west of the
forecast area on Wednesday for drier air aloft to advect over the
Florida peninsula from the east which would decrease pops across
the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1154 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Predominately VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop today with the
best chance over the interior and southwest Florida...possibly
impacting LAL/PGD/RSW/FMY with LCL MVFR CIGs and IFR VSBYs.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1154 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
High pressure will hold over the waters through the forecast
period with winds and seas below cautionary levels. Main hazard
will be scattered showers/thunderstorms which will be capable of
producing locally gusty winds and rough seas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1154 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025
No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will
keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values well above
critical levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  79  93  78 /  20  10  30  20
FMY  95  77  95  76 /  40  30  40  30
GIF  94  77  94  76 /  40  20  50  30
SRQ  92  77  93  75 /  20  20  30  20
BKV  92  74  92  73 /  30  10  30  20
SPG  89  79  90  78 /  20  10  30  20

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby
DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby